Model Report: Q_drop_centred_unit, sigma_w sd = 0.25 NB (tp_24hmean_pop_weighted_log(5))

Timing

Posterior Sampling: 47.30 seconds

Log Likelihood Compute: 3.15 seconds

Summary

mean sd hdi_3% hdi_97% mcse_mean mcse_sd ess_bulk ess_tail r_hat
intercept -10.004 0.015 -10.033 -9.976 0.000 0.000 11482.0 6245.0 1.0
sigma 0.398 0.006 0.387 0.408 0.000 0.000 11805.0 6446.0 1.0
sigma_w 0.911 0.128 0.689 1.165 0.001 0.001 8769.0 6340.0 1.0
w[0] 2.168 0.097 1.986 2.354 0.001 0.001 12275.0 6382.0 1.0
w[1] 2.286 0.123 2.060 2.519 0.001 0.001 10990.0 6270.0 1.0
w[2] 0.382 0.068 0.251 0.506 0.001 0.001 12887.0 6124.0 1.0
w[3] 0.291 0.057 0.181 0.397 0.001 0.001 11281.0 5687.0 1.0
w[4] -0.113 0.089 -0.276 0.055 0.001 0.001 12062.0 5886.0 1.0
w[5] 0.418 0.243 -0.049 0.863 0.002 0.003 10651.0 6906.0 1.0
w[6] -0.525 0.453 -1.368 0.318 0.004 0.005 10191.0 6158.0 1.0
w[7] 2.208 0.855 0.627 3.821 0.009 0.009 8417.0 6176.0 1.0

Trace Plot

Pair Plot

Spline Plot